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What Are The Odds Of That?

August 1st, 2009

08.01.2009 original post date
02.28.2012 update (repaired 2 links, added Year 2040 Asteroid data)

What Are The Odds Of That?

Investor Education Series by Net Advisor

We’ll you’ve probably seen those emails and websites that tell you the odds of things, but they never cite any sources. Today, instead of talking about the challenges of the economy, or what is the latest saber rattling by Iran, or North Korea, or how much debt the government is racking up, let’s explore some odds: Data current at time of posting.

Odds of winning the Power Ball lottery
1 in 292,201,338.00 (odds were 1 in 195,249,054 in Aug. 2009)

Odds of winning the MEGA Millions lottery
1 in 175,711,536

Odds of being killed in a plane crash
1 in 11 million

Odds of an amateur making two holes-in-one in a round
1 in 9,222,500

Odds of being attacked by a shark (USA)
1 in 11.5 million.

Odds of 6 billion people killed by a giant asteroid
1 in 1.5 million

Thus, you are 100 million times more likely to be killed by an asteroid than winning a big jack pot.

Odds of a child murdered who had not reached their first birthday (USA, 1997)
7.12 of every 100,000

Odds of Earth impact from major asteroid “99942 Apophis” in 2029
1 in 15,000

Odds of being killed in a car accident
1 in 5,000

Odds of being stuck by lightening during your life time
1 in 5,000

Odds of Earth impact from major asteroid on February 5th 2040
1 in 625

Odds of getting pregnant while on the pill (FM)
2 in 100

Marriage Calculator
Calculate your chances of getting divorced

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